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Labor 2008 Strategy
Memo
Electoral Landscape
President Bush’s approval rating has reached a record
low, and a record number of Americans think the country is on
the wrong track. From the debilitating economic situation to the
ongoing disaster in Iraq, it is clear that not only are the
policies of the Bush administration a failure, they are deeply
unpopular.
Even so, John McCain and Republicans in the U.S. Senate have
chosen to run on the Bush policies, which has created an
extremely favorable landscape for pro-labor candidates at both
the presidential and senatorial level.
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Our Challenge
With such a favorable electoral landscape, it would seem
victory would be easily in our grasp. John McCain, however, is
well aware of America’s distaste for President
Bush’s policies. McCain knows he can’t run on his
own record or on Bush's, so he's hoping to make this election a
referendum on Obama.
Put simply, McCain's plan is to scare voters away from Obama
by painting him as “Other.” To combat that effort,
we have aggressively moved to provide accurate biographical
information about Barack Obama to our members and stop these
smears on his character.
At the Senate level, our challenge is even greater. During
this past congressional session, every legislative priority of
working families has been stymied or stopped by the minority in
the Senate. To break this stranglehold on our priorities, we
need to elect 60 senators who share our pro-worker agenda. As an
example, there are currently 51 senators—a
majority—who support the Employee Free Choice Act. Thus,
to provide workers a free choice to join a union and bargain for
a better life, we need to not only win the presidency, but we
need to win nine more Senate seats. This is an almost
unprecedented number of new Senate seats to win in one year, but
we’ve identified 11 races that we believe we can win, and
we’re going to do everything we can to make that
happen.
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Our Plan—Labor 2008
At the core of our Labor 2008 program is an intensive
member-to-member communication program focused on our target
universe of 3 million swing union voters. Through intensive
polling, focus group work and message testing, we are able to
identify and microtarget swing union voters in critical states
with messages matched to their individual concerns.
We will communicate our core messages with these 3 million
swing union voters in a multi-layered fashion, including direct
mail, phone calls, worksite leafleting, e-mails and home visits.
People like you are what make these communications streams so
powerful and effective. Union members and union leaders have
significant credibility on the issues, particularly those which
affect America’s workers.
To give you a sense of the scale of our member-to-member
communications stream, in the coming 55 days, the AFL-CIO will
activate a network of over 250,000 volunteers in 24 targeted
states to educate our members on the issues. As a part of this
effort, we will:
- Knock on 10 million doors.
- Send 25 million pieces of mail.
- Make 70 million phone calls.
- Drop 20 million leaflets.
- Activate our 4 million-person e-mail network.
None of this could happen without your commitment to our
cause. As we have learned so painfully during elections in the
past, every vote really does matter. By participating in Labor
2008, you can be certain that you will be speaking directly with
critical voters about the issues they care about.
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Our Messaging
With the steady erosion of the American middle class, our
core message this election cycle involves drawing clear
comparisons between the policies and positions of Barack Obama
and John McCain on the economy. Obama is committed to building
an economy that works for all, protecting workers’ rights
and fighting for health care for all.
In 2007, Obama voted with working families 100 percent of the
time in the Senate, whereas McCain voted with George Bush 95
percent of the time. The distinction couldn’t be clearer,
and we can’t afford another four years of Bush-style
governance.
In addition to educating union voters about Obama and
McCain’s positions on economic issues, we are aggressively
countering the smear campaign against Obama designed to paint
him as somehow being “different” from the rest of
us. We already have sent mail to hundreds of thousands of union
members presenting the facts on Obama’s religious beliefs,
his upbringing and more.
We will continue to fight these smears as necessary, but at
its core, our messaging will aggressively make the case that
Obama will provide a voice for all Americans.
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Down-Ballot Races—510 additional
races
Winning the presidency is not enough for working families.
Barack Obama and Joe Biden are committed to helping
America’s workers, but we know that we need more
pro-worker politicians in every level of the government. Most
critical is ensuring that we have 60 pro-worker votes in the
U.S. Senate. Beyond that, we are focused on several hundred
state-level races, including governor races and highly targeted
legislative races where control of the state legislature hangs
in the balance.
In total, we’re investing resources in 510 races this
cycle, in addition to the presidential race. Broken down, this
means we’re getting directly involved in 11 Senate races,
61 House races, 4 governor races and 434 state legislature
races. Each of these races has been carefully selected and
vetted to ensure that the candidates are committed to pro-worker
policies and where the investment of our scarce time and
resources will be most effective.
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Protecting the Vote
Just as important as educating union members on the issues,
we need to ensure that everyone who makes the effort to vote has
their vote counted. We have all heard the stories of voter
suppression over the years, and we have a multi-pronged effort
under way to protect voters’ rights.
The key to protecting our vote is to start early and build
relationships with boards of elections. From there, we work to
ensure there are adequate voting machines in every location and
that there are accessible early-vote locations in states that
allow early voting.
Finally, we are helping boards of elections find and train
more poll workers—and, yes, we are building a network of
lawyers who will be available by phone to address any issues if
they arise prior to, or even during, election day.
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Labor 2008—13
Million Strong—We Have the Power to Make the
Difference
Thank you for taking the time to read our Labor 2008 strategy
memo and more importantly for the time you have spent working to
make a difference. None of this would be possible without your
commitment. Together, we truly have a wonderful opportunity to
make America a better place for all working families.
Brian Baker IBEW Political
Director |